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The Defence production act and AI policy
The Defence production act and AI policy Defence Production Act Antitrust provisions Use in the Biden executive order No comments Quick Summary Gives…
Mar 1
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Nathan Barnard
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February 2024
China Forecasts and AI
China Forecasts and AI The rate at which China is able to advance towards TAI is a crucial consideration in for many policy questions. My current take…
Feb 25
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Nathan Barnard
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China Forecasts and AI
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Examples of governments doing good in house (or contracted) technical research
An open question is the degree to which governments can do good technical research, either in-house or commissioned. Some possible ways in which this…
Feb 14
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Nathan Barnard
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Examples of governments doing good in house (or contracted) technical research
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January 2024
AI governance frames
CW: reference to sexual violence A way I’ve been thinking about AI governance recently is in terms of different standard frames that strands of AI…
Jan 30
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Nathan Barnard
3
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AI governance frames
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Some heuristics I use for deciding how much I trust scientific results
I'm back blogging!
Jan 18
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Nathan Barnard
6
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Some heuristics I use for deciding how much I trust scientific results
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February 2023
Taboo P(doom)
It's not a helpful term
Feb 3, 2023
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Nathan Barnard
6
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Taboo P(doom)
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January 2023
Many children are needlessly dying
Many children are needlessly dying
Jan 1, 2023
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Nathan Barnard
6
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Many children are needlessly dying
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December 2022
Be less trusting of intuitive arguments about social phenomena
We don't know anything about macroeconomics and we're trying really hard.
Dec 18, 2022
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Nathan Barnard
5
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Be less trusting of intuitive arguments about social phenomena
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AI overhangs depend on whether algorithms and compute are substitutes or complements
Summary Decreasing the cost of a factor of production creates an overhang if the elasticity of substitution between factors is less than 1 This…
Dec 16, 2022
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Nathan Barnard
3
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AI overhangs depend on whether algorithms and compute are substitutes or complements
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November 2022
Should the US have pushed Ukraine to surrender
Enter the signalling game
Nov 23, 2022
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Nathan Barnard
3
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Should the US have pushed Ukraine to surrender
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Be fucking ruthless
Do the right thing
Nov 4, 2022
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Nathan Barnard
5
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Be fucking ruthless
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October 2022
Should I work on x-risk? Part 1
Should you walk away from Omelas?
Oct 31, 2022
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Nathan Barnard
2
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Should I work on x-risk? Part 1
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